Emily Seibold vs Lia Karatancheva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Karatancheva has a higher win rate on second serve points at 42.58%, compared to Seibold's 34.26%. Could this give Karatancheva an edge? Yes, as there's a strong link between this stat and match outcomes.
• Return Game Stats: Karatancheva outperforms Seibold on returns, winning 51.05% of opponent's second serve points versus Seibold's 46.25%. For first serve returns, it's 38.9% for Karatancheva and 33.08% for Seibold.
• Under Pressure Analysis: Seibold shows slightly better breakpoint defense, saving 46.15% of breakpoints compared to Karatancheva's 45.41%.
• Overall Performance: Over the past year, Seibold has a marginally better win rate at 58.33% compared to Karatancheva's 56.41%.
• Best Surface: Karatancheva excels on clay with a 56% win rate, while Seibold's strength is on hard courts with a 58% win rate. Does this suggest Seibold has an advantage? On hard courts, yes.
• Player Level: Karatancheva has a slight edge in winning percentage at Challenger/ITF events, boasting 58.67% against Seibold's 56.41%.
• Head-to-Head Record: Seibold leads their encounters, having won their sole previous match with a decisive 6-1, 6-0 on hard court in 2019.
• Opponent Quality: Karatancheva has faced slightly tougher opponents, with an average rank of 346.58 to Seibold's 383.82.
• Deciding Set Performance: In matches that go the distance, Seibold takes a slight lead with a 47% success rate versus Karatancheva’s 43%.
• Break Point Conversion: Seibold has a slight advantage, converting breakpoints at 42.47%, compared to Karatancheva’s 41.96%.

Editorial Prediction (July 29, 2025, UTC):

The statistics favor Karatancheva in terms of second serve performance and return game effectiveness. However, Seibold counters with a slightly better track record under pressure and in deciding sets, which could be vital in a closely contested match.

Moreover, Seibold's past head-to-head victory on a hard surface suggests an advantage if they play on a similar surface in this upcoming match. Additionally, Seibold excels slightly in breakpoint conversion, an essential factor that can turn games in her favor during crucial moments.

Factoring in their respective strengths and weaknesses, Emily Seibold appears to hold a slight edge over Sesil Karatancheva, making her the likely winner of this match.